AI Analysis: Supply and disposition of crude oil and equivalent

Category: government

Executive Summary

Statistics Canada's Table 25100063 provides a comprehensive 10-year monthly record (2016–2025) of Canada's crude oil supply and disposition across 12 regions and 31 categories, encompassing 48,174 non-null records with values ranging from -12 million to 156.5 million cubic metres or barrels. Canada's crude oil sector expanded significantly over the decade, with production growing 33.3% and exports rising 32.2%, while imports remained virtually flat — confirming Canada's deepening role as a net crude oil exporter. The dataset's strong right-skew (mean of 8.5M versus median of 1.2M) and 1,188 flagged outliers highlight that a small number of high-volume categories and exceptional events, such as a record inventory drawdown of -1.9 million cubic metres in January 2023, drive much of the overall variability.

Key Findings

  • Crude oil production grew 33.3% over the decade, rising from 18.7 million to 24.9 million cubic metres between January 2016 and December 2025, with exports closely mirroring this growth at +32.2% (16.4M to 21.7M cubic metres).
  • Imports declined only 0.4% over the same period (3.95M to 3.93M cubic metres), indicating that rising domestic production is channelled almost entirely into exports rather than substituting imports.
  • The dataset is strongly right-skewed, with a mean of approximately 8.5 million nearly 7 times the median of 1.2 million, driven by a small number of very high-volume categories pulling the average upward.
  • Values span an extreme range of 168.5 million units — from a minimum of -12 million to a maximum of 156.5 million — with a standard deviation of 20.8 million that exceeds double the mean, reflecting high cross-category variability.
  • A total of 1,206 records carry negative values, with 'Net Inventory Changes' accounting for 603 of them and recording the most extreme drawdown of -1,909,859 cubic metres in January 2023.
  • Using a 2.5× IQR threshold, 1,188 records were flagged as statistical outliers across the top 6 categories, with the single highest value of 24,881,738 cubic metres recorded under 'Crude Oil Production' for Canada in December 2025.
  • The dataset is evenly split between two units of measure — 24,087 records each in cubic metres and barrels — enabling flexible and directly comparable analysis across both measurement systems.

This AI-generated analysis covers 8 analytical sections of Statistics Canada Table 25100063.

Source: Statistics Canada — Open Government Licence Canada